21/1/2022 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Canterbury

On Friday in Canterbury, seven races will be run and won. The weather is nice, the track is soft (5) and the track is three meters out for the whole circuit.

Race 1. (18:15) Vinery Handicap 1250m

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2 Solve (Now bet: $SP.00) for me in the opener. He has placed in both career outings, the latter came here when he was up to speed and tried his best but couldn’t stand Sneaky Shark, with a big lead over third. Last time he was a couple of weeks between runs so fitter and better in the trip, with his racing pattern he is hard to beat.

Danger

1 Destiny’s Bounty (Now bet: $SP.00) the Blinkers gets three the first time at the start. Barely second on Gosford debut behind Overlord before going to Warwick Farm and giving his best but was no match for Stick To Your Guns. He was bred to handle a wet job if juice is left in it and this is a winning girl.

Small chance

9 Transformation (Now bet: $SP.00) has had a few chances to break the maiden tag, but despite not winning, she hasn’t been too far off. Run over 1100m last time at Gosford and tried hard but he was no match for Shadow Devil who won a great win last week so form is great and cards are good from the draw.

Race 2. (18:45) Buy Better At Inglis Handicap 1250m

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7 ruin art (Now bet: $SP.00) clear to me. I think she’s a quality galloper for John O’Shea who resumes as she hasn’t raced since September 3rd when she was very good last on the run in Wyong when she finished third off another handy horse, Invincible Vision. She tried out a super leading-in. I just hope the inner gate is used.

Danger

3 Lamp Lady (Now bet: $SP.00) is a daughter of Counterattack on debut for Chris Waller. This girl has gone through a few trials to prepare for take-off, the last one being at Warwick Farm where at the time she wanted to do her business really well. Early market push suggests she comes here to run well.

Small chance

9 wonder women (Now bet: $SP.00) should be around the mark. Finished her previous couple in second, the last comes here over 1100m then a well held second from Dollar Magic in a girl I think the form is a little on the suspicious side but good racing style and inner gate keeps her in the mix.

Race 3. (19:15) Precise Fire Handicap (72) 1250m

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7 Jal Leic (Now bet: $SP.00) is short, but I think she wins. CV for John O’Shea, who has not raced since the winter when he won 2/2, the last one being a beating at the Kenso track. She seems to be the most forward-thinking of this bunch and her trials and tribulations indicate she’s ready to rock and roll fresh.

Danger

1 evening bride (Now bet: $SP.00) seems to have a decent engine under the hood and I think she could be dangerous. Resume with a dominant win over Goulburn before proving this was no fluke with an even more impressive win over Gosford. Harder here, but in shape and has positive sides I feel.

Small chance

4 Miss Baltimore (Now bet: $SP.00) drops back to the middle of the week and I think this could be a big improvement. Close up behind Lady Of Luxury verse before heading to Rosehill when doing a bit too much work on speed and tired late behind the Rule Of Law. Back to this kind of race she can run an improved race.

Race 4. (19:45) XXXX Handicap (72) 1550m

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1 intuition (Now bet: $SP.00) is worth a shot for Kurt Goldman. I think he’s been pretty good in three runs back from a break. The final run came in the Moruya Cup with a dominance of pace, but ended his race with real purpose. He can be much closer in the run from the good draw and comes in nicely after the claim.

Danger

8 Fiordland (Now bet: $SP.00) has a wide draw to win, but has an advantage/progression for the Waller side. Last time ran over 1500m at Rosehill when he was near the speed the whole time and tried hard but couldn’t quite finish it when he was second to Caesars Palace. If he gets lucky from the draw, he’s hard to beat.

Small chance

2 Fleetwood Maca (Now bet: $SP.00) goes up quite a bit in degree/depth, but she has something nice about her. Found them a bit sharp fresh behind Brookspire before going to Canberra where it was a pretty thin Class One but she wrecked the leash like a horse that can come back to town and measure herself so eager to see how she goes .

Race 5. (20:15) Stud & Stable Staff Awards Handicap (72) 1900m

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5 Big Rock (Now bet: $SP.00) is a decent price to find out if it’s going well. A couple of solid placings before racing the 2200m at Warwick Farm where he was terrible on the eye but was 2/5 weak after the race so clear apology for him. Other than the past efforts, he’s well worth throwing every side of the stumps.

Danger

2 maid of ore (Now bet: $SP.00) is a Nick Olive trained mare who knocks on the door to win. Was on her back at odds on this track/distance last time and she looked like the winner at the corner but had to settle for a narrow second from My Demetra. Now that she’s found a positive shape, she can hold onto it.

Small chance

11 Bedford Square (Now bet: $SP.00) lacks a real turn of the foot, but a real 1900m run should be ideal for her. On the final start, she ran over 2100m in Nowra where she was a $1.45 favorite and gave her best, but 2100m just got behind when she finished second, ahead of third. She should push forward from the gate and run her usual fair race.

Race 6. (20:45) Evening Star (72) 1100m

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3 sessions away (Now bet: $SP.00) is worth a shot for Team Hawkes. Coming to NSW after two runs in Melbourne to begin prep. Wide and tired leaves fresh behind Exeter before going to Caulfield where he stopped EIPH after the race so clear apologies in both runs. Cards super out of the draw and his best is good enough.

Danger

8 eyes see things (Now bet: $SP.00) is a daughter of Star Witness for John Thompson who resumes. Hasn’t raced since 11th August when he produced an end of the prep run in Newcastle behind a handy mare in Pearl Roan. Tends to race best on the fresh side and has tried well.

Small chance

4 Bugalugs (Now bet: $SP.00) lacks the class of some of these, but beyond his resumption I think it should go in all multiples. Resumed in the Inverell Shorts where he walked, had no cover and was entitled to go straight up, but continued to find the line with an excellent effort. Not sure if he will win, but an obvious first four threat.

Race 7. (21:15) The Agency Real Estate Handicap (72) 1200m

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5 nasturtiums (Now bet: $SP.00) is 2/2 to start his career and thinks he can make it to 3/3. Gave them an absolute beating on the Hawkesbury debut before moving on to Gosford where he was again dynamic from the front and set a good time. Have the right racing style and change the speed to win this and better races.

Danger

6. To what extent? (Now bet: $SP.00) has done nothing wrong in her six-start career for James Cummings. Nice ride from Reece Jones last time saw her win during the midweeks at Warwick Farm although she had the right run in transport and did find the best part of the track. A little more depth here, but hard to beat how sincere she is.

Small chance

1 Osamu (Now bet: $SP.00) I think it’s going well. Good on his return to Warwick Farm before heading to the Midway a few weeks ago when four was the journey wide and bravely persevered as he had the right to run last. If he’s luckier this time, I think he’ll go well enough to be dangerous.

BEST GUESS: Race 2 Number 7 Ruinart

NEXT BEST: Race three number 7 Jal Lei

SMALL CHANCE: Race Six Number 3 Sessions Road

Quaddie tips (races four through seven):

leg one: 1, 2, 5, 8, 9

leg two: 2, 3, 5, 6, 11

leg three: 3, 4, 7, 8

leg four: 1, 5, 6, 7

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