Ohio vs. Toledo prediction, odds, line: 2022 college basketball picks, January 21 best bets by proven model

The Toledo Rockets will look to continue their recent regular-season dominance over the Ohio Bobcats when they meet in a key Mid-American Conference game on Friday night. The Rockets (14-4, 6-1), who have a five-game winning streak, have been 8-3 in the regular season against Ohio since 2011-12. The Bobcats (14-2, 5-0), who were on a tear and won nine in a row, defeated Toledo 87-80 in the semifinals of the MAC Tournament last spring. Toledo have opened the competition with six wins in seven attempts for the second year in a row and for the third time under coach Tod Kowalczyk.

The game from the Convocation Center in Athens, Ohio, will be tipped on CBS Sports Network at 6 p.m. ET. Toledo averages 79.4 points per game, while Ohio averages 74.2 points. The Bobcats are the 4.5 point favorites in the final odds of Toledo vs. Ohio from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 148. Before choosing between Ohio and Toledo, check out college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five years, its proprietary computer model has generated impressive profits of over $2,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball rosters against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has set its sights on Toledo vs. Ohio, and has just recorded its picks and CBB predictions. You can now visit SportsLine to see the model choices. Here are the college basketball odds and bets for Ohio vs. Toledo:

  • Toledo vs. Ohio spread: Ohio -4.5
  • Toledo vs. Ohio over-under: 148 points
  • TOL: The Rockets are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games after an ATS win
  • OHIO: The Bobcats are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after an outright win of over 20 points

Featured game | Ohio Bobcats vs. Toledo Rockets

Why Ohio Can Cover

Senior forward Ben Vander Plas has racked up a double score in 11 games, including a 23-point effort in Tuesday’s big win in Miami, Ohio. It was his second game with more than 20 games in the past three games, as he also scored 20 runs in January 7 win over Kent State. For the season, Vander Plas has averaged 12.8 points, 6.5 rebounds, 3.1 assists and 1.5 steals. He scores 44.5 percent of his field goals, including 35.9 percent from a 3-point range, and 74.3 percent of his fouls.

Junior guard Miles Brown was a regular on offense, scoring five times in double digits. His best game was a performance of 19 points and six rebounds in an 88-68 win over Concordia on November 26. For the season, Brown averaged 7.2 points, 2.3 rebounds, 1.6 assists and 1.2 steals per game. Hot off the field, he connected 43.8 percent from the floor, including 35.4 percent from the 3-point range and 82.4 percent from the foul line.

Why Toledo can cover

The Rockets have four players at double-digit averages, led by sophomore guard Ryan Rollins. Rollins scored 35 career points against Coastal Carolina on Nov. 24 and is second in the conference with 19.3 points per game and 1.9 steals. He was the 2020-21 MAC Freshman of the Year and earned an honorable mention across all conferences. In two games against Ohio last season, Rollins averaged 10.5 points and 4.5 assists per game. Rollins has shot 50 percent or better in four consecutive games and shoots 52.6 percent from the floor during this stretch. He scored in double figures in 42 of the 48 games in his career.

Junior striker JT Shumate, who averages 15.4 points per game, leads the team with 6.8 rebounds and 56.3 percent shooting from the floor, including 52.1 percent from a 3-point range. His eight-game streak of shooting 50 percent or better from a three-point range came to an end in Tuesday’s win over Ball State when he went 1-for-5 from beyond the arc. He has scored double figures in all but one of his games this season. Against the Bobcats in 2020-21, Shumate averaged 11.5 points and 4.5 rebounds.

How Toledo vs. Ohio choices to make

The SportsLine model leans forward on the points total. It also generated a against-the-spread pick that is cashed in nearly 60 percent of simulations. You can watch the Ohio vs. Toledo choice of model only available at SportsLine.

So who wins Toledo vs. Ohio? And which side of the spread affects nearly 60 percent of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Toledo vs. Ohio is spreading to jump on all of the high-end model that has surged more than $2,400 on its college basketball picks over the past five years, and find out.

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