26/1/2022 Horse Racing Tips & Best Bets – Caulfield, Blue Diamond Previews Day

Caulfield will host their traditional Australia Day gathering on Wednesday, which will feature several blacktype races across the eight event meetings. The weather is nice, the track is good (4) and the track is six meters out for the whole circuit.

Race 1. (13:20) Neds Blue Diamond Preview (c&g) 1000m

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1 philosopher (Now bet: $2.00) is the straight bat option in the opener. He ran a good overall time as a debut winner at this track/distance just over two weeks ago led the whole time under Ollie who shot him out of the gates to take the lead and pressured him to win well. I’m not sure if it’s Blue Diamond quality, but I think he has the genius to pull this out.

Danger

2 Lion Rampant (Now bet: $2.50) is a son of Frankel for Peter Moody who resumes. He made his debut on the Flemington straight in the Maribyrnong Trial and closed out strong from the speed when he took third ahead of the impressive winner Get In The Spirit. Sharp test win in Pakenham to prepare…not sure if 1000m is his journey but he will be strong late.

Small chance

6 Throne bone (Now bet: $26.00) is a Thronum gelding on debut for Jerome Hunter. He won a recent Sandown jump in good style. Did his business well enough when winning, though time didn’t flash anything. Stable is looking for Williams to steer so I’d look to the market with him.

Race 2. (13:55) Blue Diamond Preview (Fals) 1000m

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1 Latinia (Now bet: $6.50) top of a tough race. This girl made her debut on the Flemington straight and she was a true professional. most of the way in the lead under a confident control of Johnny Allen, who stays on for this. Wide draw, but has early speed and it’s only one turn, so sitting wide isn’t a huge disadvantage.

Danger

5 Jewelry (Now bet: $4.00) looks like a smart foal. She was just coming off her debut here but finished with a real goal as she finished second behind Philosopher and produced the best last 200 meters of the meeting. You’d like to think she’ll get a good improvement out of that. Only if she wants to move on now.

Small chance

14 Written Swoosh (Now bet: $18.00) is a first starter that I can entertain at odds. Phillip Stokes trains this filly, who has won a couple of Pakenham jumpouts. The latter saw her sit off the pace before being presented more broadly and she was doing her business quite nicely, I felt. Drawings soft and stable can cause them to fire early.

Race 3. (14:30) Evergreen Turf (bm70) 1100m

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It seems to be a good speed here so I want to be one that will be strong late and 6 Suricate (Now bet: $SP.00) will be. Resume for Team Freedman after a first win at Benalla in June where she got better as the race went on. That was the case in her recent Werribee jumpout so I think she will appreciate the real pace here and attack at the end.

Danger

3 For real life (Now bet: $SP.00) is another that won’t have a problem with a true 1100m run as she has had a couple of 1200m leads under the belt, the last in The Valley second to Danny’s St Darci. Has the right shape around her to give this a shake and Ollie sticks.

Small chance

8 Don’t cry (Now bet: $SP.00) deserves another look. This filly debuted with an impressive first win at Moe before racing here, where the saddle shifted shortly after the start and she did not compete. She pulls to do no work behind good speed and from the fresh win she is in the mix.

Race 4. (15:05) WJ Adams Stakes 1000m

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2 Tram Stranger (Now bet: $SP.00) is the only one, purely from a map perspective. This man has been kept on ice since the Doveton, where he ran a narrow second to Enthaar and closed strong late. He will pass the A1 and stalk Enthaar and co. If he gets air, I think he’ll end up best.

Danger

3 Enthaar (Now bet: $SP.00) is probably on trial here for an Oakleigh Plate berth. Lots of quality on her win at the Doveton in a welcome return to form after a slightly indifferent retry. If she can pull this off and beat the older horses again, she’ll go to the Oakleigh Plate, dare I say. Just gotta deal with heat at speed.

Small chance

If they go ahead 4 Mossman Gorge (Now bet: $SP.00) is the horse that should get the last look. He hasn’t raced since Gong Day at Kembla, then a close-up fifth in The Warra behind Eleven Eleven, and we know how strong that form is. He loved his victory on the test in Canberra and will enjoy the speed up front to launch late.

Race 5. (15:40) McCafe (bm84) 2000m

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Happy with a 1 × 3 spot 9 kings vol (Now bet: $SP.00) for Aaron Purcell. Market said it was fresh prep in the Bool in the Koroit Cup and that’s how it ended, but his last 75 yards or so, he hit the line well. He will love the climb to the 2000 meters and if he gets a cheap lead he will run a daring race at odds.

Danger

5 Somerset Maugham… (Now bet: $SP.00) beware of the unlucky horse in a bad race. I think he was indeed unlucky in a bad race at Flemington when he finished second after Dark Dream. I say bad luck because he was held up, but he was out in plenty of time to wear out that horse. He’s had a few runs on the mile now. I think to tackle 2000m and he knocks on the door. Think he will be SP too short.

Small chance

10 unique artist (Now bet: $SP.00) has a real love affair with the 2000m and it took place in Flemington on New Year’s Day. Was put in a plum spot under Daniel Moor and when it came to pushing the button there was good response and he was strong on the lead to win. Must be respected here.

Race 6. (16:20) John Dillon Stakes 1400m

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I’m not 100% convinced Caulfield will fit 4 Lighthouse (Now bet: $SP.00) but it’s hard to get away from her and what she’s been doing in Australia so far since arriving from America. I loved the way she dug in to win the Chester Manifold last time as she had to work for it but she got better as the race went on. Must be in her corner.

Danger

5 Open minded (Now bet: $SP.00) is a Caulfield specialist and cards superb from the gate. He hit them last time on this track/distance albeit at benchmark level but still, a sharp display from the front and good enough to suggest it’s running well. It will only be interesting what tactics they use.

Small chance

8 Excelida (Now bet: $SP.00) is a Team Hayes trained mare who could be in NZ for some black type races with a strong showing here. Impressive win from behind getting the job done here on Boxing Day, with a very well timed run under Mick Dee. Fitter, she commands respect.

Race 7. (17:00) Tile importer (bm70) 1400m

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12 Thunderpoint (Now bet: $SP.00) for me. Progressive gelding for Symon Wilde who was ridden positively by Linda Meech on the Bool last time and the end result was a beating from his rivals, bringing in big bets. Stable thinks he is subway class and despite pulling wide I think he pushes forward, probably leads and will run down.

Danger

1 Over the air (Now bet: $SP.00) is a quality animal for the Price/Kent camp that is resuming. Hasn’t raced since June 26 when he was seemingly given every chance but didn’t finish as well as most expected when he finished third after Ballet Master. 1400m is a bit on the short side but has quality.

Small chance

5 Show some decorum (Now bet: $SP.00) as returned in good order for Team Freedman. Resumed with a strong win in The Valley before moving on to Stawel where he put in far too much work in flight but was far from dishonored in defeat behind Libbyangel. Comes in well after the claim and does no work from the gate.

Race 8. (17:40) The Mary Bell (bm70) 1400m

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First time in Caulfield is the only thing stopping me from explaining? 9 Yonce (Now bet: $SP.00) the bet of the month. She seems quite a big, coarse mare so how she moves around Caulfield will be intriguing, but there’s no doubt she has Stakes talent, possibly Group I talent. Stunning in both career starts/wins and all things being equal she will make it 3/3.

Danger

1 strip (Now bet: $SP.00) seems to have good preparation. Resume in the Vespertine race at Caulfield where she raced and was hailed the winner, only for Vespertine to get the narrow split, run hard late and win. Fitter and better in trip for this mare, I think she should be respected for such a good return.

Small chance

10 Wegobam (Now bet: $SP.00) is a top four contender. Team Corstens trained a mare who ran over 1400m last time at Sandown where she was there to win but she couldn’t get the margin back on Yonce who I believe is the Stakes class so that form would be pretty good for this should be good. Runs well, doubt she turns the tables.

BEST GUESS: Race Eight Number 9 Yonce

NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 4 Lighthouse

SMALL CHANCE: Race five number 9 kings vol

Quaddie tips (races five through eight):

leg one: 3, 4, 5, 9, 10

leg two: 4

leg three: 1, 5, 7, 12

leg four: 9

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