What if Jaxson Dart actually commits to BYU?

Nov 27, 2021; Los Angeles, California, USA; Southern California Trojans quarterback Jaxson Dart (2) throws the ball against the BYU Cougars in the first half at United Airlines Field at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

BYU Football fans have been closely following the recruitment of the five-star quarterback.

Sometimes things seem better than they really are. For example, did you know that in the “white elephant” Christmas game, over 70% of people choose to open a present on their first turn instead of stealing one? Even more interesting, most people go for the big gift in the middle as opposed to the smaller one, despite there’s no evidence that bigger equals better.

Right now, Jaxson Dart is the big present.

BYU Football looks to be tough after USC Jaxson transferred Dart to schools like Oklahoma and Ole Miss. While it’s clear that BYU has to go after him, what if the gift isn’t as good as we all think it is? What if he’s better? Let’s take a look at both.

Ideal (unlikely) scenario

In an absolutely perfect world, Jaxson Dart arrives in Provo and decides to serve a mission to The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints. That would mean Dart won’t be converting for the next two seasons, with Jaren Hall playing his final season and then Jacob Conover taking over for a year.

After Dart returned home, he would take a red shirt year and get some significant playing time against teams like Kansas, Dixie State and another G5. This would set him up nicely next season (still his sophomore year) to be the starting quarterback for as long as he wants.

Why this won’t happen: There is little evidence to support the idea that Dart wants to serve an LDS mission. Although he has not explicitly stated that he will not serve a mission, as he has already had a year and is looking at other schools that would not support him to serve a mission, this seems highly unlikely. There’s also the “Go to the NFL ASAP” mentality, of course. A mission obviously slows that down considerably.

Why this will happen: Big 12. If Dart decides BYU is his best bet, he may decide it’s in his best interest to be on a mission and not lose his eligibility if it means getting three full seasons in the Big 12. Remember, both Ole Miss and Oklahoma are on their way to SEC (although OU may stay until 2025). Why be in a league compared to QBs from Alabama, Georgia and Texas A&M when you can be the face of a conference?

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